We say: Venezia 1-1 Fiorentina
Having fumbled the most points from leading positions throughout Serie A - a remarkable 30 so far - any Venezia lead is not safe.
Though the much improved and highly motivated hosts are capable of capitalising on Fiorentina's Conference League hangover, they may slip up again, producing a result that suits neither side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw has a probability of 24.9% and a win for Venezia has a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.62%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Venezia win it is 1-0 (7.33%).
